Just a quick one..

What do you get if you take a stock that’s rallied, a Big Round Number, and results that are nothing new?

I’ll give you a hint.. think back to Warpaint last week.

The answer is the stock usually falls.

And that’s exactly what we had with Kitwave.

400p is the BRN

Now, don’t get me wrong.. I like this business and think it’s a good operator.

It’s a rare 2021 float that’s actually done well.

But what matters is price and where price is potentially going to go next.

Here, we can see KITW moved from around 340p all the way to 410p.

News comes out that’s not ahead, and gives a cautionary note.

So what do we have?

  • Big move in anticipation of news

  • Big Round Number at 400p

  • News not ‘ahead’ and cautionary

  • Potential profit takers

Sound familiar?

Warpaint London (W7L) also had a big move, the Big Round Number, and potential profit takers (unfortunately I closed my short for a profit before the placing!).

Trading is a lot about pattern spotting and trading those patterns with good risk/reward.

I whacked KITW and covered for a quick dip.

My rationale was simple.. nobody is buying the news - especially after that move. And so all you need is a few profit takers for a move.

Deltic (DELT)

Here’s one I missed..

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Andrew Drobot 2 years ago

Hi Michael, thank you for the update. I think it is better to have more short updates, than one big monthly update. What is your view on Supreme? It was a huge volume on Friday, but the price did not move. The spread was tiny during the day and closer to the day end bell it was an arbitrage when you could buy at 140p and sell at 140.02p

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Michael TaylorAuthor2 years ago

Thanks Andrew. Monthly update will still continue!

I am long SUP - looks like there were some block trades printed which could be anything but nothing I need to be concerned about.

Price now broken out of a more than 2-year high and is crazy cheap for its cash generation (imo).